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Recession vs Slowdown: How Economists Tell the Difference

Recession vs Slowdown: How Economists Tell the Difference

The words "slowdown" and "recession" get used interchangeably, but they describe different things — and confusing them leads to bad decisions.

A slowdown is deceleration

In a slowdown the economy is still growing, just less quickly than before. Hiring cools, spending softens, but output keeps expanding. It can be uncomfortable without being a crisis, and often reverses on its own.

A recession is contraction

A recession is a broad, sustained decline in activity — not just slower growth but shrinking output, spread across industries and lasting more than a few months. Economists look at employment, incomes, production and spending together rather than fixating on a single number. The practical takeaway for readers: a scary headline about one weak quarter is not the same as a recession, and treating it that way can cost you.

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